FNUS76 KMFR 011157
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER DEER 4B PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
457 AM PDT FRI APR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN AREA
TODAY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OFFSHORE. THIS WILL PROVIDE FOR CONTINUED
LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WIND IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SIMILAR FRIDAY TO THURSDAY BUT THE AIR MASS WILL BE DRIER WITH
HUMIDITY DOWN ABOUT 5 PERCENT. A WARM LAYER ALOFT WILL LIMIT
MIXING HEIGHT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE BURN AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER SNOW
LEVEL WILL DROP QUICKLY EARLY SATURDAY AND PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TO ALL SNOW ON SATURDAY WITH ABOUT AN INCH
ACCUMULATION BY THE END OF THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH MOSTLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.
                    CLOUDY THIS EVENING WITH RAIN LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH UNTIL 1400
                    THEN TURNING TO SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH.
                    OCCASIONAL GUST TO 9 MPH AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON
                    THEN TURNING TO NORTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER 1400.
CWR.................0 PERCENT...40 PERCENT TONIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW.
                    SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110401.LOWER.01/MFR