FNUS74 KMOB 011948
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-28  EVENING...ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
248 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1505 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COMBINATION OF STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS AND DEEP
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN HIGH DISPERSION VALUES TODAY. IN
ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS...EXCEPT FOR
SLIGHTLY HIGHER VALUES RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. TRANSPORT WINDS
WILL WEAKEN ON SATURDAY...RESULTING IN LOWER DISPERSION VALUES.
DISPERSIONS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS STRONG SOUTHERLY
TRANSPORT WINDS DEVELOP. HUMIDITY VALUES LOOK TO STAY ABOVE RED
FLAG CRITERIA...BUT A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY AS
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 20 FT WINDS TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A STABLE SURFACE LAYER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
AGAIN ON SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL OF LIGHT PATCHY FOG.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........23     23
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE
TEMP..............76     75
RH................31     33
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....11     8
MIX HGT (FT)......6000   6400
MIX HGT (M).......1830   1950
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...18     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      7
DISPERSION........79     69
LVORI.............1      1
CWR...............0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........23     36     36     36     58     58
WEATHER COV.......                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............74     67     58     54     52     52
RH................36     49     76     89     93     93
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     W      W      SW     SW     W
20 FT WIND SPD....7      5      3      1      1      2
MIX HGT (FT)......6400   200    100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (M).......1950   60     30     30     30     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     W      W      SW     SW     W
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     7      3      2      2      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      3      1      1      1      1
DISPERSION........56     3      2      1      1      2
LVORI.............1      2      4      6      8      7
CWR...............0      0      0      0      20     20

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........58     54     54     54     46     46
WEATHER COV.......S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............52     57     68     74     77     78
RH................94     81     56     45     40     38
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     N      N      NW     N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....3      4      4      4      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)......100    1200   2200   3300   4300   5100
MIX HGT (M).......30     370    670    1010   1310   1550
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     N      NE     NE     N      SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      8      12     7      5      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      4      5      3      2      3
DISPERSION........2      12     26     21     27     38
LVORI.............7      4      2      2      2      1
CWR...............20     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...JASON FERGUSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110401.C28EV.01/MOB