FNUS73 KTOP 011102
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLINT HILLS COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
602 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDY SKIES WITH AREAS OF FOG AND SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH SUNRISE
WILL DISSIPATE BY 9 AM. THE CLOUDS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY THIN THROUGH
THE LATE MORNING WITH PARTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS AT IGNITION TIME...AND
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY 3 PM. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER
MIXING TOWARDS IGNITION TIME THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO
25 MPH AS MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE TO 6100 FEET. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH THIS MORNING...OVER 80 PERCENT THROUGH
10 AM...BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING TO NEAR 43 PERCENT BETWEEN 4 AND
5 PM. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN WEST TO NORTHWEST INTO THE EVENING...
SPEEDS SHOULD QUICKLY LOWER BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM TO UNDER 10 MPH THEN
BECOME LIGHT SOUTHWEST UNDER 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /64600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /84500 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...POOR /1100 KNOT-FT/.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /83300 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...WHITMORE
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS CARRIL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110401.FLINT.01/TOP