FNUS74 KTSA 011507 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR GAINES CREEK EAST...CHOCTAW NATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1007 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE DROPS DOWN INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. WINDS AT 20 FT SHOULD BE IN THE 5 TO 15 MPH RANGE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY DROP DOWN TO AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT BY PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BACK OFF AFTER SUNSET WITH A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND GRADUALLY BECOMING EAST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 50 PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-7600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............64 69 73 76 77 78 DEWPT...........44 43 44 44 44 44 RH..............47 39 35 32 30 31 20FT WIND DIR...SW W W W NW NW 20FT SPD (MPH)..1 1 1 1 2 2 20FT GUST(MPH).. CLOUDS (%)......22 11 9 6 4 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... MIXHGT/100(FT)..054 070 076 076 074 074 TR WIND DIR.....W W W W W W TR WIND SPD(MPH)13 16 17 16 14 9 STABILITY.......B B B B B D 1700FT MIX T (F)66 73 76 78 78 77 VENT/1000(M 3/S)010 015 018 017 014 009 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............77 74 69 64 62 59 58 56 54 53 52 51 DEWPT...........45 45 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 RH..............32 35 43 51 57 62 65 69 73 76 80 84 20FT WIND DIR...N N N NE NE E E E E E E SE 20FT SPD (MPH)..2 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..5 5 10 10 10 10 10 CLOUDS (%)......5 6 5 6 6 7 7 8 6 4 3 7 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... MIXHGT/100(FT)..071 065 052 036 021 013 008 005 003 002 002 000 TR WIND DIR.....W NW NW N NE NE NE NE NE E E E TR WIND SPD(MPH)6 5 8 13 16 14 10 7 6 6 6 5 STABILITY.......E F F F F F F F F F F F 1700FT MIX T (F)75 72 66 61 58 61 67 73 74 75 74 75 VENT/1000(M 3/S)006 004 006 006 005 002 001 000 000 000 000 000 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............50 49 50 55 60 65 69 73 76 78 79 79 DEWPT...........46 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 51 52 53 54 RH..............87 90 89 76 64 55 49 44 41 40 40 41 20FT WIND DIR...SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..5 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 12 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 25 25 25 CLOUDS (%)......12 17 15 13 11 18 25 32 32 32 32 21 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... MIXHGT/100(FT)..000 001 006 014 024 035 046 055 059 059 058 058 TR WIND DIR.....E SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)5 6 10 15 20 21 22 22 23 23 24 23 STABILITY.......F F E D C B B B B B B D 1700FT MIX T (F)75 73 69 63 61 64 69 74 76 78 78 78 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 001 003 007 010 014 016 018 018 019 018 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .MONDAY... NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .TUESDAY... COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...LACY REQUESTED BY...TOM LOWRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110401.GAINE.01/TSA