FNUS73 KPAH 012120
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANDY BURN UNIT F...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
420 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 02.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE WEEKEND...BRINGING PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE QUAD STATE REGION FOR
SATURDAY. AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS...WINDS WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE AND BY SUNDAY GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA FOR SUNDAY AS CLOUDS BEGIN TO INCREASE.

LOOKING AHEAD....A POTENT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING SOME STRONGER STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS
INTO THE HEARTLAND ON MONDAY.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-4200
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6000-7000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13
                    TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    CLEAR     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............40        54        65        70
RH..............85        54        38        32
20 FT WIND......W 3G5     W 3G5     W 5G10    SW 5G10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2500      6500      7000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25     W 23      W 17      W 14
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....5         4         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...TIM PERREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110402.HANDY.01/PAH