FNUS72 KJAX 031834 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SHERRILL MILLS C-219...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 234 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE NEAR 20 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN 15 MPH...BUT GUSTS OVER 15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN AREAS WITH ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WIND AND HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH AND WIND IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA BY MID-WEEK...BUT RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........10 10 10 43 45 45 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG TEMP............80 74 69 66 64 62 RH..............25 43 55 65 76 85 20 FT WIND......E 10 E 8 E 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3700 1300 1300 900 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 12 SE 9 SE 9 DISPERSION INDX.54 25 25 8 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....84. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............MISSING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 53 53 33 31 31 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 61 73 81 86 87 RH..............96 99 69 53 44 43 20 FT WIND......SE 7 S 7 S 10 S 14 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1200 1200 3200 5300 5300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 S 16 S 16 S 18 S 20 S 20 LVORI...........M M M M M M DISPERSION INDX.8 11 14 62 83 83 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...PETERSON REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110403.SHERR.02/JAX