FNUS72 KJAX 041048
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHERRILL MILLS C-219...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
648 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIND AND HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL BE 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH TODAY AND TUESDAY.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY AHEAD OF THE FRONT TO NORTHWESTERLY
AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA BY MID-WEEK...BUT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....108.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........30     36     36     36     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     61     73     81     86     86
RH..............96     100    68     51     43     43
20 FT WIND......SE 7   S 3    S 8    S 12   S 13   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1200   1200   3300   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12  S 16   S 16   S 23   S 26   S 26
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-2000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........28     32     32     32     67     67
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............84     78     74     71     69     68
RH..............47     59     69     77     84     88
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 10   S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   3600   3600   2000   500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22  SW 16  SW 16  SW 15  S 16   S 16
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110403.SHERR.02/JAX