FNUS73 KLSX 040028
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAIR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
728 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1903 CDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY EYE LEVEL WINDS AROUND 10 MPH GUSTING TO
20 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING AS
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.  THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
IRON COUNTY AROUND 6 AM CAUSING THE WINDS TO SHIFT FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER 1 AM.  THE LATEST TEN
HOUR DRY FUEL MOISTURE FROM THE SULLIVAN RAWS SITE IS 7 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE EVENING. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 2200...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
                    0100...THEN >25 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT REQUEST...MIN 53.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH UNTIL MID EVENING...AND THEN DECREASING
                    TO AROUND 7 MPH AROUND 4 AM.  WINDS WILL SHIFT
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 20 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    WINDY. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT DECREASING
                    TO 9 TO 13 MPH TOWARDS DAYBREAK. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    OCCASIONAL RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................>25 STRIKES UNTIL 1000...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 11 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 33 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10982 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110403.BLAIR.02/LSX