FNUS73 KEAX 041223 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR MARAIS DE CYGNES COMPLEX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 723 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH AT YOUR BURN SITE BY THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS. THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TO UNDER 20 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE LIGHT SHOWERS ARE TO YOUR EAST. YOU MAY SEE A SPRINKLE AT IGNITION BUT EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY. MINIMUM RH'S WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER 40S AT YOUR LOCATION. FUELS REMAIN DRY...AND COMBINED WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND THE RISK OF WILD FIRE RESULTING FROM A CONTROL BURN IS HIGH. IF YOU NEED UPDATED INFORMATION ON YOUR BURN SITE. PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA...KS AT 1-800-432-3929. WE ARE BACKING UP THE NWS AT PLEASANT HILL...MO THIS MORNING. GARGAN .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 AT IGNITION...MAX 51. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE MORNING. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 29 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500-5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-8100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 39 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........86 76 63 46 24 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 49 50 50 49 RH..............60 54 50 46 42 20 FT WIND......NW 26 NW 28 NW 28 NW 25 NW 21 20 FT WIND GUST.35 40 40 35 30 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 31. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 63 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........13 4 0 0 11 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 42 39 37 35 33 RH..............42 48 54 59 61 63 20 FT WIND......NW 17 NW 9 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 29 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........18 16 15 13 16 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 41 51 60 65 66 RH..............66 50 39 32 29 32 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 9 SW 16 SW 21 SW 23 SW 21 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...WFO TOP...GARGAN REQUESTED BY...BRITTANY COLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110404.MARAI.01/EAX