FNUS72 KILM 042022 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR BROOKGREEN UNIT...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 422 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNFAVORABLE WIND PROFILE IN PLACE THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD...TYPE 1-B. WIND MAX INCREASING 60 MPH 1000-2000 FT LAYER BY MIDNIGHT. IT WOULD SEEM THAT THE CONVECTIVE COLUMN FROM A LARGE ENOUGH FIRE WOULD TAP INTO THESE WINDS AND LEAD TO AGGRESSIVE SPREADING. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IN YOUR BURN WINDOW ARE VERY UNLIKELY. THEY WILL LIKELY NOT OCCUR UNTIL DAYBREAK. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT THEN MOVE OFFSHORE LATER TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TUESDAY AND PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL RETURN TO NORMAL THURSDAY BEFORE GOING ABOVE FRIDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ESPECIALLY LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 31 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............13 21 22 25 31 34 36 40 42 50 64 71 WEATHER COV......... SCH WEATHER TYPE........ TSM TEMP................73 70 70 69 69 68 68 68 70 68 68 68 RH..................71 79 81 84 84 85 83 80 75 81 84 83 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......14 14 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 22 23 25 20 FT WIND GUST.....35 30 30 35 35 35 35 40 40 40 40 40 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 23 TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............76 98 95 91 88 69 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE SCTTRD CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP................69 66 66 67 66 66 RH..................83 88 74 62 54 46 20 FT WIND..........S 16 S 16 SW 14 W 13 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....40 40 35 30 25 25 $$ FORECASTER...BACON REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110404.BROOK.01/ILM