FNUS74 KLZK 041205 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR WINDY FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 705 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0654 CDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ARKANSAS TODAY AND BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE STATE. EARLY TONIGHT THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OUT OF ARKANSAS AND TAKE THE RAIN WITH IT. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND LOWER TEMPERATURES TO THE 30S TONIGHT STATEWIDE. ALSO GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ARKANSAS TODAY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH WIND SPEEDS FROM 10 TO 25 MPH WITH ISOLATED HIGHER GUSTS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL MAINLY BE IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING ON THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT THE OVERALL COVERAGE AND AMOUNTS OF RAIN WILL BE LOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........69 AT REQUEST...MAX 67. RH..................69 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 36 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 40 TO 49 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 33 TO 39 MPH IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW TEMP............69 67 65 63 61 59 58 59 59 59 59 58 RH..............69 69 63 60 54 52 49 49 44 41 40 40 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 13 16 17 20 21 21 21 21 20 18 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 30 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 8 10 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 11 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 10 13 15 15 18 18 18 18 18 15 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.49 43 40 39 37 36 35 33 33 33 33 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 70 70 70 20 20 20 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 51 49 44 41 38 RH..............40 39 39 49 55 66 20 FT WIND......NW 17 NW 14 NW 13 NW 12 NW 9 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.30 20 20 15 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.10 8 8 7 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.15 10 10 8 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.32 31 29 25 21 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63. RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 44 55 61 RH..............72 51 31 24 20 FT WIND......W 7 W 6 W 8G10 SW 9G10 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT OSBORNE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110404.WINDY.01/LZK