FNUS76 KMFR 041408
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER DEER 4B PILES...USFS/GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
708 AM PDT MON APR 4 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE BURN
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE INCREASED AT THE
ONION MTN RAWS SITE. HOWEVER THERE IS A WEAK INVERSION WHICH
WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING...BUT THEN
WILL INCREASE AFTER THE INVERSION BREAKS LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST OF
THE BURN AREA TUESDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED MOST HOURS.
A STRONGER FRONT ARRIVES WEDNESDAY USHERING IN A COLDER AIR
MASS AND STRONGER WINDS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A FEW SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 1-3 MPH EARLY. THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    4-9 WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 14 MPH LATE
                    MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

MIXING HEIGHT.......500 AGL EARLY. INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8-13 MPH IN THE MORNING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    14-22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-9 WITH A FEW GUST TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FEET AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY AND
                    DRY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO NORTHWEST 13-23 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...SEAN HENDRIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110404.LOWER.01/MFR