FNUS72 KMHX 031455 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMPY POINT...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1055 AM EDT SUN APR 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST OVER THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE OFFSHORE MONDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED MONDAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AT OR ABOVE 60 PERCENT. A INCREASED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED FOR MONDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES COUPLED WITH STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. WINDS WILL AGAIN BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............9 19 26 29 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................57 66 69 72 71 RH..................86 70 68 66 71 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 16 S 18 SW 20 SW 22 S 22 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 30 35 35 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............37 41 49 60 68 75 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................70 67 65 64 62 62 RH..................73 84 90 97 100 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 22 S 22 S 23 S 23 S 23 S 23 20 FT WIND GUST.....35 30 35 35 35 35 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110404.STUMP.01/MHX