FNUS73 KDMX 051129
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY CREEK RX...FRANKLIN COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
629 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR WINDS TO SHIFT AND INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST LATER
THIS MORNING...FAIRLY CLOSE TO IGNITION TIME. GUSTS WILL TOP 25
MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY
SHOWER EXIST DURING THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT. EXPECT ANOTHER
MILD AND DRY DAY ON WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING NORTHERLY BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 TO
                    24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (192400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........50  50  51  51  52  53  55  57  58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  45  49  52  54  56  58  57  57
RH..............55  47  40  36  35  35  34  37  40
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..14  15  17  18  18  17  17  16  15
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.14  15  17  18  18  17  17  16  15
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.8 5.8 7.8 8.4 9.0 9.6 8.6 7.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..13  16  20  23  24  24  23  23  23
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5


$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...JASON GOODER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110405.BAILE.01/DMX