FNUS73 KDMX 051142
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNAKE CREEK  LOFSTEDT WPA...IOWA DNR-USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
642 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE REMEMBER TO SUBMIT A MID BURN OBSERVATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR WINDS TO SHIFT AND INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST LATER
THIS MORNING AS MIXING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN CLOSE TO IGNITION
TIME. EXPECT GUSTS TO TOP 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER MILD AND
DRY DAY IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING NORTHERLY BY
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (171000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........48  49  50  50  51  51  51  51  51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............44  49  53  57  59  62  64  63  62
RH..............49  42  38  34  33  32  31  34  36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..14  16  17  18  18  17  16  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.14  16  17  18  18  17  16  15  14
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 3.5 6.0 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.1 7.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..21  23  23  23  23  22  21  20  18
HAINES INDEX....5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...SAYLORVILLE WILDLIFE UNIT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110405.SNAKE.01/DMX