FNUS73 KDVN 051233
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINKAPIN BLUFFS - CHANEY...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION BOARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
733 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST RETURN FLOW WILL BEGIN TODAY.  WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT
THIS MORNING...BUT INCREASE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SOME CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.  CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM
PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........LIGHT WEST WINDS TURNING SOUTHWEST BY 11 AM.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-6000 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 7500-9500 FT AGL BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO NEAR 6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 17 TO
                    24 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     49     56     60     60
RH..............50     37     29     28     32
EYE LEVEL WIND..250/7  240/11 220/14 230/18 230/15
EYE LEVEL GUST..8      14     22     27     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...LE
REQUESTED BY...KATIE HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110405.CHINK.01/DVN