FNUS75 KGJT 051038
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
438 AM MDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FLAT RIDGE OVER UTAH THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT
ACROSS CO TODAY AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TODAY.
FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY WITH A DISTURBANCE
IN THE FLOW EXPECTED TO BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST (UPCANYON) 5-7 MPH BY 1200 WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    OVER RIDGETOPS...WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19000-32900 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR
                    INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN VARIABLE
                    BECOMING WEST 25 MPH BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 5 MPH.
                    OVER RIDGETOPS...WEST 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNCANYON 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN BECOMING NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST (UPCANYON) 10-15 MPH BY 1300 WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. OVER RIDGETOPS...
                    SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-38200 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110405.TAYLO.01/GJT