FNUS73 KLSX 051301
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KESSLER E...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
801 AM CDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ALLOWING WINDS TO BECOME
SOUTHWESTERLY BY AFTERNOON ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 50S TO MIDDLE 60S...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO THE BI-STATE REGION
ON WEDNESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED.  THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 6 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 8 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WIND 11 TO 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2550 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (11390 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 8 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10259 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...ADAM JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110405.KESSL.01/LSX