FNUS75 KCYS 061325
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTERBROOK PILES RX...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
725 AM MDT WED APR 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...PRODUCING
COOL TEMPERATURES AND A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING AS
HIGH AS 30 MPH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11
                    TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-4500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /39200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /80200 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-38900 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (32300-80800 KNOT-FT)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JAMSKI
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110406.ESTER.02/CYS