FNUS73 KICT 060903 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR TALL GRASS PRAIRIE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 403 AM CDT WED APR 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPDATED WITH FRONT A BIT STRONGER...A COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING AND MOVE INTO CHASE COUNTY 11AM-NOON. THIS WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO FLIP AROUND TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND INCREASE. IF YOU NEED ANY UPDATES ON THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT FOR YOUR AREA PLEASE GIVE US A CALL HERE AT THE OFFICE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........39 40 40 41 41 42 42 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 58 61 65 67 68 69 69 68 RH..............44 41 39 36 35 33 32 33 34 20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE N N NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..W W N N N NE NE NE NE MIXNG WIND SPD..10 13 16 20 21 21 21 20 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........44 44 46 47 49 50 52 53 55 56 58 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 53 52 52 51 RH..............35 39 43 47 49 52 54 56 58 61 64 67 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E MIXNG WIND SPD..16 16 17 18 17 16 16 17 18 20 20 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 58 56 53 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............50 59 68 72 RH..............71 61 52 51 20 FT WIND......E 6G10 E 6G15 SE 9G20 SE 12G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 2400 2500 MIXNG WIND......E 17 E 18 SE 21 SE 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...JAKUB REQUESTED BY...DENNIS CARRIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110406.TALLG.01/ICT