FNUS73 KICT 061458 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR TALL GRASS PRAIRIE RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 958 AM CDT WED APR 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY SITTING OVER THE FLINT HILLS REGION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTH...ALLOWING WINDS TO STRENGTHEN AND SWITCH TO NORTH/NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........39 40 40 41 41 42 42 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 62 64 66 67 69 69 69 68 RH..............32 32 33 35 34 33 32 33 34 20 FT WIND DIR..W W N N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 10 12 12 12 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 22 22 22 22 20 17 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.0 MIXNG WIND DIR..W W N N N NE NE NE NE MIXNG WIND SPD..10 13 16 20 21 21 21 20 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........44 46 49 52 55 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 61 57 55 53 52 RH..............35 43 49 54 58 64 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4100 1500 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NE 16 NE 17 E 17 E 16 E 18 E 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 58 56 53 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............50 59 68 72 RH..............71 61 52 51 20 FT WIND......E 6G10 E 6G15 SE 9G20 SE 12G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 900 2400 2500 MIXNG WIND......E 17 E 18 SE 21 SE 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...KLEINSASSER REQUESTED BY...DENNIS CARRIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110406.TALLG.01/ICT