FNUS73 KJKL 060955 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD KNOB RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 555 AM EDT WED APR 6 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS ARRIVE TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH WILL STILL BE IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP BY MID MORNING...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 60S TODAY...AND WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 30S RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT RIGHT AROUND 25 PERCENT AROUND THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET BEFORE SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT AS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BUT A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ARRIVES FRIDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL EVENING. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL EVENING. POP.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....108. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........3 9 15 16 14 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 51 58 63 65 62 RH..............63 42 31 27 26 30 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 25 20 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........10 14 18 21 27 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 56 53 51 49 48 RH..............34 45 56 68 75 78 20 FT WIND......SW 8 S 7 S 6 S 5 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL EVENING. SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....73. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........40 44 50 54 58 64 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 57 65 70 73 73 RH..............76 58 47 42 40 43 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BECKER REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS DREW PAGE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110406.BALDK.01/JKL