FNUS76 KLOX 052241
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLDBROOK PILE BURN...USFS ANF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
341 PM PDT TUE APR 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA DROPS DOWN THE WEST COAST.
THIS FLOW WILL RESULT IN BREEZY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL
STRENGTHEN ON THURSDAY. GUSTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT ERRATIC AT THE SITE
BASED ON THE SLOPE ORIENTATION. TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE EACH
DAY WHILE HUMIDITIES INCREASE. LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

.AT 9AM IGNITION WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........55.
HUMIDITY............50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST 4-7 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 6-10 WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BECOMING 12-16 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL BECOMING 2500-3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH LATE.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST 14-18 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LESS
                    THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 19 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    BECOMING 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL BECOMING 2000-2500 FT AGL BY
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH BECOMING 20-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GABALDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110406.COLDB.01/LOX