FNUS73 KLSX 061400
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINTED ROCK...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
900 AM CDT WED APR 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH DRY FUELS AND
HUMIDITIES DROPPING INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON
WILL LEAD TO HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS FOR LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT.  WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER 2 OR 3 PM
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...WITH WINDS SWINGING AROUND TO THE NORTH
AFTER 7 PM THIS EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................27 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND 3 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WIND 9 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....BECOMING NORTH WIND 1-2 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WIND BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.

.THURSDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 4-4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...AARON HOLSAPPLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110406.PAINT.01/LSX