FNUS75 KCYS 071710
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTERBROOK PILES RX...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1110 AM MDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOME SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. WE ARE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS TODAY...WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST WYOMING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT...EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE MID TO LATE
MORNING FRIDAY. FOR TODAY...AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE LOW TO MID 20 PERCENT RANGE...WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (101100-153500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (2800-82600 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (36800-125600 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...CLAYCOMB
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG SHORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110407.ESTER.01/CYS