FNUS73 KDDC 071007 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKSMITH MEADOW...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 507 AM CDT THU APR 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CRITICAL FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS. INITIALLY FOR TODAY...A FRONT STALLED OVER WESTERN TEXAS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE BURN SITE WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE FRONT WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST OR EAST-SOUTHEAST MOST OF THE DAY. THE CONCERN FOR SOUTH WINDS TODAY SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS THIS MORNING ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL EXIST AS WELL. FOR FRIDAY THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA WITH MOST OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS EXPERIENCING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON FROM GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HUMIDITY LEVELS LOWERING TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND WITH BOTH SATURDAY AND EARLY SUNDAY POTENTIALLY HAVING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 AT IGNITION...AROUND 70 FOR A HIGH. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...40 PERCENT MINIMUM. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........83 78 74 62 50 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............56 63 67 70 69 RH..............54 45 41 41 43 20 FT WIND......NE 6 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 6 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 6 WIND GUST..15 15 15 10 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........47 59 75 87 87 85 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE FOG FOG TEMP............67 60 56 54 51 49 RH..............46 60 69 76 85 85 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 6 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 6 NE 5 WIND GUST..15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 5 6 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 6500-8200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........86 73 57 44 43 42 WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 55 67 76 81 83 RH..............86 77 52 36 32 31 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 4 E 5 SE 6 SE 10 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 20 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 5 E 4 E 5 SE 6 SE 10 S 11 WIND GUST.. 5 10 20 25 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .SUNDAY... NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...A JOHNSON REQUESTED BY...WILLLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110407.PARKS.01/DDC