FNUS73 KDVN 071346
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY HILL WOODLAND...JOHNSON COUNTY CONSERVATION BOARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
846 AM CDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS
MISSOURI.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE LIMITED TO SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
80. LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL TURN TO EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE DURING THE DAY.  TONIGHT RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WITH CONTINUING EAST FLOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    700-800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14
                    TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............50     53     55     55
RH..............66     61     57     57
EYE LEVEL WIND..110/7  110/13 110/13 100/13
EYE LEVEL GUST..       15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 24 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...DAVID WEHDE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110407.HICKO.01/DVN