FNUS73 KICT 071714 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR TALL GRASS PRAIRIE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 1214 PM CDT THU APR 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SPINKLES AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL AFFECT THE FLINT HILLS REGION THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER...SKIES SHOULD BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR A STRAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...TURNING MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT. CONTINUED EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY. ADK .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 11 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........88 89 88 86 84 83 81 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TSM TSM TSM TEMP............60 63 65 67 68 68 67 RH..............60 57 54 52 51 51 53 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 11 11 11 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 15 14 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.2 MIXNG WIND DIR..E E E E E E E MIXNG WIND SPD..18 14 13 14 14 12 9 CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........80 80 79 78 77 76 76 78 81 84 87 90 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM FOG FOG TEMP............65 62 61 60 59 58 57 57 57 57 56 56 RH..............57 63 67 70 73 74 75 74 74 74 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NE NE E E E E MIXNG WIND SPD..8 9 10 13 14 15 16 16 16 15 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 75 58 52 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 64 73 77 RH..............88 67 51 46 20 FT WIND......E 5G10 E 6G10 E 6G10 E 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1400 2000 2500 MIXNG WIND......E 14 E 17 SE 8 SE 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...KLEINSASSER REQUESTED BY...DENNIS CARRIL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110407.TALLG.01/ICT