FNUS72 KJAX 071203
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG SHOALS 1D...FPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
803 AM EDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE JUST NORTH OF THE SITE THIS MORNING
WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS TURNING
SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED WITH
HIGHS TODAY IN THE LOWER 80S AND MID AND UPPER 80S ON FRIDAY AND
THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX HEIGHT 5100 FEET..
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........18     18     32     32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     76     82     83
RH..............61     45     40     41
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 7    SW 10  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   3100   5000   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 10   SW 13  SW 13
DISPERSION INDX.11     39     53     53
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL EARLY THEN DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........32     25     25     25     35     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     74     68     66     63     61
RH..............47     64     76     84     91     99
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 6   SW 3   SW 1   SW 0   SW 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   1300   1300   700    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  SW 10  SW 10  SW 6   SW 2   SW 2
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
DISPERSION INDX.65     5      5      3      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TEALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110407.BIGSH.01/JAX