FNUS73 KJKL 081052 FWSJKL SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD KNOB RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 652 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY EVENING. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE REGION WILL INTERACT WITH THE BOUNDARY TO BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...HIGH AROUND 79. HUMIDITY............70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN AROUND 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. POP.................40 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......475 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 MPH AT IGNITION...MAX SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........87 83 80 78 73 68 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............66 69 73 76 78 78 RH..............69 64 58 53 50 50 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. POP.................30 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........63 59 59 66 73 75 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............76 71 66 65 64 64 RH..............55 73 86 86 86 89 20 FT WIND......W 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 1200...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. POP.................50 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH NEAR 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 38. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........75 75 71 61 59 57 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............64 69 75 78 80 80 RH..............90 76 65 60 56 55 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 5 S 7 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PELTON REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110407.BALDK.02/JKL