FNUS73 KJKL 071102
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESTNUT CLIFFS...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
702 AM EDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH TOWARDS THE AREA
TODAY...USHERING IN AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
BE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH...WITH ANY GUSTS REMAINING LESS THAN 15 MPH.
THE WEATHER WILL TURN UNSETTLED BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE FRONT
SETTLES IN THE VICINITY OF THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........29     35     52     59     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     65     69     72     71
RH..............45     39     35     35     38
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 6   SW 8   SW 6   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........69     76     79     82     86     89
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............68     65     63     61     59     58
RH..............41     49     57     65     69     72
20 FT WIND......S 3    SE 3   SE 5   S 3    SE 3   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 ABOVE MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........93     86     79     65     67     69
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............58     64     68     71     73     73
RH..............73     63     58     55     53     54
20 FT WIND......S 5    SW 6   SW 9   SW 10  W 12   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...GEOGERIAN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110407.CHEST.01/JKL