FNUS73 KJKL 062324
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR BRANCH...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
724 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR BROUGHT
CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO SOME LOCATIONS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE WIND WILL SUBSIDE AS SUNSET APPROACHES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
SHOW ONLY A WEAK RECOVERY ON RIDGES TONIGHT...ONLY RISING INTO THE
50S AS A LIGHT BREEZE STIRS THROUGH THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...SHELTERED
VALLEYS WILL SEE THE WINDS DIMINISH FURTHER...WHICH WILL RESULT IN
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY REACHING AROUND 90 PERCENT.
HIGH PRESSURE WHICH WAS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON THURSDAY. WITH THE HIGH DEPARTING...OUR
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE LESS ON THURSDAY AND WINDS WILL BE MUCH
LIGHTER. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO CLIMB...WHICH WILL RESULT IN
HIGHER HUMIDITY...BUT STILL ON THE DRY SIDE. THE FRONT WILL STALL AS
IT REACHES THE AREA...AND A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING ALONG THE
FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-9 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH EARLY...DIMINISHING TO
                    5-10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........10     11     13     14     22     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     57     54     51     50     48
RH..............28     36     47     57     61     65
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 7    S 6    S 6    SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH BY MID DAY.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........41     44     50     53     58     64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     64     69     72     72
RH..............73     58     51     39     40     44
20 FT WIND......S 3    SW 7   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...HAL
REQUESTED BY...ALISON COONS - SZFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110407.TAYLO.01/JKL