FNUS72 KMFL 071232
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC NW5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
832 AM EDT THU APR 7 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC NW5...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
832 AM EDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH
TODAY WITH A LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT
IN POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT THE FIRE SITE.
THERE WILL BE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER
COLLIER COUNTY SOUTH OF THE FIRE BUT ONE OR TWO SHOWERS COULD
DRIFT NORTH NEAR THE BURN SITE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BUT IF
A SHOWER GETS CLOSE TO ENOUGH THERE COULD BE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
CAUSE THE WIND TO BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........33     33     33     33     33     23
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............78     86     88     88     84     77
RH..............75     56     49     49     58     74
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   5500   5500   4000   2800
MIXNG WIND......E 9    E 6    E 2    E 8    E 8    SE 14
DISPERSION IDX..28     28     14     30     30     6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............9.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
LVORI...............4.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED

$$

REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
REASON FOR REQUEST...STATE, TRIBAL OR LOCAL FIRE AGENCY WORKING IN COORDINATION WITH A
FEDERAL PARTICIPANT IN THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES.