FNUS72 KMHX 071101 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR GREAT LAKE ROAD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 701 AM EDT THU APR 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTH ATLANTIC TODAY WHILE A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN INTO THE CENTRAL COASTAL AREA FRIDAY MORNING...AND INTO SOUTH CAROLINA SATURDAY MORNING. IT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............10 5 2 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................56 65 73 74 RH..................72 52 40 40 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............19 27 36 47 56 51 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................71 64 61 59 57 56 RH..................46 63 72 78 80 83 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............44 39 49 63 73 76 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................56 59 64 70 73 73 RH..................86 83 75 66 62 64 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 1 NW 2 W 5 SW 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...AUSTIN REQUESTED BY...CROATAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110407.GREAT.01/MHX