FNUS73 KSGF 071102 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR LEADMINE GLADE...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 602 AM CDT THU APR 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONT JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTH TODAY. LIGHT WINDS...GENERALLY FROM THE EAST WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE MORE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH THE WARM FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........GRADUAL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............60 63 66 68 70 71 73 72 RH..............54 51 48 46 46 45 44 47 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 16 17 20 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE...LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 65 61 59 RH..............50 65 74 79 20 FT WIND......SE 7G15 SW 6G10 SW 4G5 SE 2G5 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 1800 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 23 SW 23 SW 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY DURING THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 65 74 80 RH..............83 71 53 45 20 FT WIND......SE 2G5 SE 5G10 S 5G10 S 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 2300 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 SW 16 SW 15 SW 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...ALBERT REQUESTED BY...S LAVAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110407.LEADM.01/SGF