FNUS73 KLSX 071927
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFORD MOUNTAIN...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
227 PM CDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A EAST TO WEST ORIENTED STATIONARY FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE
BURN LOCATION WILL CAUSE WINDS TO BE FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS FRONT WILL ALSO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ON FRIDAY.  MIXING HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TEN HOUR FUEL MOISTURE
AT THE FARMINGTON RAWS SITE IS CURRENTLY 9 PERCENT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.  WINDS WILL
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH ON SATURDAY AS THE
WARM FRONT MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES ON
SATURDAY WILL CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMDITY VALUES AROUND 45 PERCENT AND MIXING HEIGHTS NEAR
4000FT AGL.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    THEN BETWEEN 2 AND 4 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN
                    BETWEEN 5 AND 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    4600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10872 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...BOB GILLESPIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110408.BUFOR.01/LSX