FNUS73 KLSX 072203
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONE ELK SAVANNA...ST. LOUIS COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
503 PM CDT THU APR 7 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT WHICH STRETCHES FROM WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
EAST TO NEAR SPARTA ILLINOIS.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT.  THIS FRONT
WILL MOVE LITTLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...THOUGH IT MAY BRIEFLY
MOVE NORTH OF THE ST. LOUIS METRO AREA TONIGHT BEFORE DRIFTING
BACK SOUTH ON FRIDAY DUE TO INFLUENCES FROM THUNDERSTORMS.
BECAUSE OF THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THE WIND WILL BE ERRATIC.
HOWEVER...GENERALLY SPEAKING A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND IS
EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST DURING
THE AFTERNOON.  THIS WIND FORECAST MAY CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY
IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT FORM TONIGHT.  PLEASE REQUEST ANOTHER
SPOT FORECAST ON FRIDAY MORNING FOR AN UPDATE.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....VARIABLE AT 5. POTENTIALLY GUSTY NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND...20 FT........VARIABLE WIND FROM 5 TO 10 MPH. POTENTIALLY
                    GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4200 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5986 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...HOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110408.LONEE.01/LSX