FNUS73 KLSX 081509
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEA RIDGE CA...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1009 AM CDT FRI APR 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED FRONT WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
PART OF ILLINOIS.  SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT
THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE THE
REST OF THE DAY.  ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS THEN EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND WILL
EXIT THE REGION ON SATURDAY MORNING.  A WARM FRONT WILL THEN
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA AND USHER IN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY.  FINALLY...A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND DELIVER ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....VARIABLE AT 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND EARLY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4700 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6488 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...WFO LSX
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN DEBRECHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110408.PEARI.01/LSX