FNUS72 KMHX 081052
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN TRACT...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
652 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
TODAY AND BECOME STATIONARY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
ALONG THE FRONT THIS EVENING AND OFF THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
FRONT WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST AS A WARM FRONT ON MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA LATE NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1400-2500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............78     81     88     83
WEATHER COV.........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................63     67     70     70
RH..................78     73     68     73
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6   SW 8   S 10   SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............81     79     86     85     80     87
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP................68     64     62     60     59     59
RH..................78     87     97     100    100    96
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   SW 8   W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     15     15     15     15

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............92     92     64     58     57     59
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................59     61     66     69     69     69
RH..................96     87     70     61     59     61
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 6   N 5    N 8    N 9    N 9    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10            15     15     15     10

$$

FORECASTER...AUSTIN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110408.OCEAN.01/MHX