FNUS71 KBGM 081835 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR WAUGH FIELDS RX...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 235 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SETTING UP A MILD SOUTH WIND ON SATURDAY...CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PERCENT. A WARM FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL PUSH NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY, AND BRING THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7200-26300 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............52 31 22 10 1 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................52 47 44 41 38 36 RH..................44 53 67 82 85 89 20 FT WIND..........SE 4 E 2 SE 1 S 1 S 2 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....26 26 26 26 7 7 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7200-37600 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............15 22 24 23 21 55 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................35 37 47 56 62 64 RH..................96 92 68 50 42 41 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 7 7 7 38 38 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (18300-37600 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............67 68 64 70 90 84 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................62 57 52 49 46 44 RH..................44 55 66 74 79 86 20 FT WIND..........S 5 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....38 38 38 38 18 18 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH LATE. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (18300-39400 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............83 88 90 93 99 100 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................43 45 54 62 67 69 RH..................93 89 71 60 52 50 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....18 18 18 18 39 39 $$ FORECASTER...CHAMPNEY REQUESTED BY...BILL STEWART DEPUTY REFUGE MANAGER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110409.WAUGH.01/BGM