FNUS73 KFGF 091625 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR HORACESPILL...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 1125 AM CDT SAT APR 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1120 CDT ON APRIL 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE WINDS NEAR HORACE ARE VERY LIGHT AROUND 3 MPH. WIND DIRECTION IS LIKELY SOMEWHAT VARIABLE...BUT GENERALLY FROM THE SSE. THE WIND WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY STRONGER AT ABOUT 5 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND MAKE FOR A MORE PREDICTABLE DIRECTION FROM THE SSE. LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO BECOME LIGHT AT ABOUT 6 MPH FROM THE EAST AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS CHANCES WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AND THERE COULD BE SOME THUNDER. THE WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE WILL ALSO INCREASE AND BE FROM THE NORTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........VERY LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT ERRATIC WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT FROM SSE AROUND 5 MPH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO BECOME LIGHT FROM THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST BUT LATER SHIFTING TO BECOME 5 TO 10 MPH FROM THE SSE. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........79 79 78 78 77 77 77 78 81 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-1400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 21 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........83 87 90 93 94 93 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 30 TO 38 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 40 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 90 89 92 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR 20 FT WIND......N 8G15 N 12G20 N 15G25 N 17G30 $$ FORECASTER...GROCHOCINSKI REQUESTED BY...MARK EWENS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110409.HORAC.01/FGF