FNUS73 KEAX 111440 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTLE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 940 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...BECOMING GUSTY BY LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SHIFT INTO THE PLAINS. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MANY LOCATIONS. THIS MAY CREATE AN ELEVATED WILD FIRE DANGER ACROSS SOME LOCATIONS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SHIFT OVERHEAD TONIGHT LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY THE MID WEEK TIME FRAME BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7200-9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........23 15 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 66 67 RH..............42 37 35 20 FT WIND......NW 17 NW 17 NW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 84 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 54 48 45 42 40 RH..............38 52 62 68 75 82 20 FT WIND......NW 14 NW 12 NW 9 NW 7 NW 5 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 36 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........0 0 9 13 11 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 45 55 63 68 70 RH..............87 71 53 43 37 37 20 FT WIND......N 3 NW 2 SW 3 S 3 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...HAWBLITZEL REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110411.CASTL.01/EAX