FNUS74 KLIX 111201 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-13-14...U.S. FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 701 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL ENTER THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. WINDS WILL QUICKLY VEER AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST BEFORE QUICKLY COMING BACK AROUND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 1. FOG POTENTIAL IS NIL. THERE WILL BE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING BUT ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH ALONG WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN TO KEEP FOG FROM DEVELOPING. 2. CHANGES ARE MINIMAL. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN AT LEAST IN THE 5-7 MPH RANGE. 3. MAX WIND GUSTS OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON WITH PEAK HEATING. LOOK FOR A FEW GUSTS TO RANGE FROM 25-30 MPH. 4. SHOULD MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN 8 AND 11PM... PROBABLY CLOSER TO 9-10PM. 5. THE ONLY WAY I CAN THINK OF TO SEE LIGHTNING IS THROUGH AN ADDITION TO A PROGRAM CALLED GR2ANALYST OR GR3 WHICH IS A RADAR PROGRAM. RADAR DETECTION IS GENERALLY SOMETHING THAT NEEDS TO BE PURCHASED OUTSIDE OF THE NWS BY EITHER EQUIPMENT SUCH AS HAND HELD DETECTORS OR VIA THE WEB. 6. THE USE OF UPDRAFTS IN THE DISCUSSION IS STRICTLY RELATED TO CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS AND THAT WOULD LIKELY BE BETWEEN 6PM AND 10PM. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........70 70 70 70 70 70 88 88 88 88 88 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 78 81 82 82 80 80 81 82 81 80 RH..............89 79 71 67 68 71 71 69 70 71 74 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 23 23 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........88 75 75 75 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............79 75 72 71 68 64 RH..............77 81 81 72 73 78 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 7 SW 5 NW 5 N 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 2000 2700 2700 2200 1100 MIX HGT (M).....1220 610 820 820 670 340 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 24 SW 20 SW 20 W 14 N 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 11 SW 9 SW 9 W 6 N 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 25 25 25 25 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 66 76 76 77 78 RH..............78 66 43 42 40 40 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 5 NW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 700 4100 4100 4400 3700 MIX HGT (M).....340 210 1250 1250 1340 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 N 12 N 17 N 17 N 14 N 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 7 N 5 N 8 N 8 N 6 N 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110411.CPTG1.01/LIX