FNUS73 KEAX 121249 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR MINE CREEK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 749 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY TODAY KEEPING WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH THIS MORNING. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A DRY AIR MASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. AS TEMPERATURES WARM THIS AFTERNOON...RH VALUES WILL DIP BELOW 30% BY THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. OVERALL...A DECENT DAY TO BURN GIVEN THE EXPECTED CONDITIONS. BEYOND TODAY...DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ARRIVES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........6 7 9 12 15 19 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 67 69 72 73 73 72 RH..............37 33 31 29 29 30 31 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........24 24 25 25 26 26 26 25 24 25 25 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............70 65 61 58 56 55 53 52 51 49 48 48 RH..............34 40 47 52 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........23 24 25 25 25 27 28 30 33 37 41 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 48 54 59 63 67 71 73 75 77 77 76 RH..............78 77 67 58 52 47 44 41 39 38 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110412.MINEC.01/EAX