FNUS75 KGJT 111544
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWNS PARK RX...NES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
944 AM MDT MON APR 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE SHIFTS EAST
TODAY. TUESDAY...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WITH AN ASSOCIATED WEAK COOL
FRONT WILL PASS IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE AFTERNOON
GRADIENT WINDS...SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND EXCELLENT MIXING. A
STRONGER PACIFIC DISTURBANCE WILL BRING EXCELLENT MIXING AND A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......100 UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO 500.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
                    UP TO 13000 IN AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
                    ISOLATED EARLY EVENING SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......600 UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1900.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN
                    OVERNIGHT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 900. 1000+ IN AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN RUTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110412.BROWN.01/GJT