FNUS75 KGJT 120356
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OURAY FWS RX...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
956 PM MDT MON APR 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COOL FRONT PASSING ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE A LITTLE
VIRGA...BUT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE GROUND. A
STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING
INCREASED INSTABILITY AND SOUTHWEST WINDS. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THIS FAST-MOVING WAVE PASSES OVER
THE AREA. THE BURN SITE IS THEN EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH
NEXT MONDAY. HOWEVER WINDS MAY INCREASE AT TIMES AHEAD OF OTHER
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES THAT WILL GENERALLY STAY NORTH OF THE
AREA.

.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). ISOLATED VIRGA
                    POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH. BY LATE AFTERNOON
                    WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTH 4-8 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 550 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNVALLEY 3-6
                    MPH LATE.
CLEARING INDEX......50.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%)...HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING
                    BY THE AFTERNOON (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110412.OURAY.01/GJT