FNUS74 KMAF 122303 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CANNON GROUP FIRES...SOUTHERN AREA BLUE TEAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 603 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1623 MDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM CDT THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... GUSTY SOUTH WINDS THIS EVENING WILL DECREASE...BUT RECOVERY WILL ONLY BE AROUND 40 PERCENT. SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY MORNING TO AROUND 15 MPH...THEN TURN WEST...IF NOT NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND 90... HENCE THE RED FLAG WARNING. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT AND BECOME VARIABLE. SOME MOISTURE MAY MAKE IT BACK INTO THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...AND DRIVE RECOVERY TO THE GOOD RANGE. THIS IS NOT CERTAIN THOUGH...SO IT WOULD BE BETTER TO EXPECT POOR RECOVERY. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME WORSE THURSDAY AS SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........9 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (146500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 10 10 10 10 TEMP............54 57 70 81 88 91 RH..............35 31 22 15 11 9 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S WNW WNW W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 11 12 14 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 17 16 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 1000 5500 5500 11000 TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE S W W W TRANS WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 10 13 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR VYGOOD HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........41 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (102000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (100 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 10 10 10 10 TEMP............91 81 73 69 66 62 RH..............8 12 17 23 29 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SE SE S SSW W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 11 10 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 13 15 MIX HGT (FT)....11500 11500 500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..SW S E W W W TRANS WIND SPD..9 9 3 0 0 0 VENT CAT........VYGOOD VYGOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........4 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 26 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (266000 KNOT-FT). CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 TEMP............59 61 73 83 89 92 RH..............41 33 19 11 7 5 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W WNW WNW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 10 15 17 22 26 20 FT WIND GUST. 21 25 30 32 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 3000 6000 6000 9500 TRANS WIND DIR..W W NW W W W TRANS WIND SPD..4 4 29 27 27 28 VENT CAT........POOR POOR GOOD EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LYSTER REQUESTED BY...WALLACE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110412.CANNO.01/MAF