FNUS73 KDDC 131200 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST LSM...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 700 AM CDT WED APR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN SITE TOWARDS THE 3 TO 6 PM TIME FRAME WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATE MORNING. THE EARLIEST WESTERLY WINDS LOOK LIKELY IS BETWEEN NOON AND 2 PM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........29 27 25 25 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 65 72 76 77 RH..............54 39 31 27 28 20 FT WIND......S 10 SW 10 SW 6 W 8 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10 SW 10 SW 6 W 8 NW 4 WIND GUST..20 15 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........24 30 37 43 53 66 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 63 58 55 52 49 RH..............32 48 58 65 75 87 20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 3 N 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 N 3 N 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 WIND GUST..5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 5 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 32 TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........76 71 65 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 51 57 62 64 65 RH..............96 85 72 61 53 48 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 7 SE 10 S 12 S 13 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 E 7 SE 10 S 12 S 13 SW 13 WIND GUST..10 15 20 25 30 30 HAINES INDEX....5 4 3 3 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SUGDEN REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110413.WESTL.01/DDC