FNUS73 KDDC 140322 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST LSM...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1022 PM CDT WED APR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2210 CDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE AND 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT AS SATFFORD COUNTY REMAIND JUST NORTH OF A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB TO AROUND 70 TO 80 PERCENT BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. A SURFACE LOW WILL TRAVEL ALONG THE FRONT TOMORROW AND TRACK VERY NEAR QUIVIRA REFUGE WITH THE WINDS EXPECTED TO BE CHAOTIC IN DIRECTION, BUT GENERALLY AT OR LESS THAN 10 MPH IN SPEED. SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN WIND IS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST ONCE THE LOW PASSES. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........38 44 55 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 55 52 50 RH..............53 61 71 80 20 FT WIND......N 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 WIND GUST..5 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-7900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 31 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........80 80 80 80 73 63 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............48 53 60 65 68 69 RH..............89 83 69 60 51 44 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 8 SE 12 S 14 SE 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 30 30 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 E 8 SE 12 S 14 SE 11 S 10 WIND GUST..10 15 30 30 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...UMSCHEID REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110413.WESTL.02/DDC