FNUS74 KEPZ 132037
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR AREA 74 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
237 PM MDT WED APR 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 MDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE CROSSING THE ROCKIES OVERNIGHT.
AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO BORDERLINE RED FLAG AT THE BURN AREA AS THE BEAVERHEAD
RAWS HAS INCREASED IN THE LAST HOUR WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH. COOLER AIR WILL
MOVE IN BEHIND THIS TROUGH ALONG WITH SOME GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN.
WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST FOR THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN TODAY...BUT WITH DEW POINTS
FALLING BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND ZERO...SINGLE DIGIT
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS ON THURSDAY DO LOOK
SLIGHTLY WEAKER AND I DO NOT THINK WILL MEET CRITICAL CONDITIONS
AT THE BURN AREA...BUT A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT MAINLY FOR AREAS
FURTHER SOUTH IN THE GILA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20 TO 25 VALLEY...30-35 MIDSLOPE.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PCT VALLEY...41-46 PCT MIDSLOPE.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 13 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110413.AREA7.02/EPZ